According to the newspaper, in the long term, Beijing could use Pelosi’s visit as an excuse to introduce changes in its military posture towards Taipei.
The real crisis around Taiwan could begin after the president of the US House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, returns to the North American country, according to The Washington Post columnist Josh Rogin.
“The greatest impact of Pelosi’s visit will occur after her return home, over weeks, months and years,” predicts the journalist. Rogin said, citing several sources familiar with the matter, that while the Chinese military is likely to take various aggressive measures, such as launching missiles or flying planes near Taiwan, Chinese leaders will try to avoid a military confrontation. , At least for the moment.
Thus, the pace and intensity of the rivalry between the United States and China will increase, changing their relations forever, with Taiwan at the center of the conflict, the article notes.
According to Rogin, in the long term, Beijing could use Pelosi’s visit as an excuse to introduce changes in its military posture with respect to Taipei, increasing China’s war advantage in the Taiwan Strait. Likewise, China could intensify its attacks against the island in other areas, such as cyber and information warfare.
“What we have learned over the years is that when China sees a misstep by its adversary, it tends to aggressively intervene to take advantage of it,” said one of the informants, adding that “China has a wide range of tools to harm Taiwan”.
Pelosi arrived in Taiwan on Tuesday, causing great anger in the Chinese government. From Beijing they denounced that the trip of the senior official, the third highest political authority in the US, infringes the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the country, while representing “a serious violation” of the one-China principle and of the three joint communiqués between Washington and Beijing.