Pension reforms are not yet a fact in France. Despite the promulgation of the law by Emmanuel Macron when the Constitutional Council did not challenge it, today the government suffers a threat that makes him desperate.
The National Assembly could vote on its revocation thanks to LIOT (Liberty, Independents, Overseas and Territories), a group of centrists, who know the legislative regulations well, and accuse the government of behave anti-democratically and warns him that he will fall for it.
The text of the Liot group was debated this Wednesday in the Social Affairs Commission, after it was accepted on Tuesday for treatment.
During the day an amendment was adopted to remove item 1, which provides for the repeal of retirement at age 64. Macronia won it by 38 votes to 34. But the text of the opponents is not buried.
This will dampen the hopes of opponents of the reform. But the centrists Can you get enough votes?especially among conservative Republican fringes, and win.
the marches are back
Legislative so opera paralyzes France as unions they mobilize again next June 6 to continue protesting against the reform and the dialogue with the government is not advancing. The end is uncertain.
The outcome is near. If there is a vote, it must be on June 8, two days after the union march, which is advertised huge. But, pending the epilogue, each new episode feeds the media chronicle and the discussions in the different sections of the National Assembly.
These are the positions in the first hours of this great fight.
At this meeting of the Social Affairs Commission, the interest of the majority was to suppress the first article of the bill, which provided for the repeal of the postponement of the legal retirement age to 64 years. It is done.
With 38 in favor, 34 against and one abstention, the deputies voted in favor of the suppression of article 1 – and therefore, more broadly, against the repeal of retirement at 64 years of age. Macronia won that chter.
The idea, for the presidential field, is now to go to the end of the committee examination, before his passage in the Hemicycle, on June 8.
At that time, the LIOT group will only be able to reintroduce its measure through an amendment. But the Macronist President of the Assembly, Yaël Braun-Pivet, will be able to wield the ax of financial admissibility and prevent a vote in the Hemicycle. It will then be the end of the attempt to repeal the reform and destabilize the executive.
On the other hand, the interest of the different oppositions is that the examination of the text does not go to the end. Thus, it is the initial text -without the amendments voted in committee, and therefore with article 1- that it would be examined in the session of June 8.
Repeal proponents had another option in trying to pass the repeal: delete all sections of the bill. Also under these conditions, it is the initial text that is examined in the Hemicycle. That’s probably what they just tried to do.
Lots of centrist experience
Onsier de Courson, a centrist deputy who inspired this revocation, is one of the parliamentarians with more experience in its mechanisms. He submitted an amendment to delete article 2 (which provides for the organization of a “conference on the financing of the pension system”).
The rporteur of the text argued that this proposal no longer made sense, since article 1 had been deleted. But, if this reform were adopted, the text would have been emptied of its content and the way would have been opened for a return to the Hemicycle of the text original. Legislative tricks.
MEPs have just voted to keep Article 2. So for now this technique is no longer an option.
As for the extension of the debates, it is threatened by the decision of the president of the social affairs commission of not examining the thousands of amendments that have just been presented, mainly by the deputies of France Insoumise.
The commission office is currently meeting, probably to decide on the continuation of the discussions, which have gone badly sour.
Do you vote or not?
The big question today is whether the bill, which aims to repeal part of the pension reform on June 8, will be debated and voted on in the parliamentary niche of the Liot group or not.
One week from the fateful date, uncertainty remains and it is a tour de force between experienced centrist deputies, who voted and were disillusioned with Macron and the pro-government, and what remains of Macronia and their circumstantial allies.
This Wednesday the debates on the bill began in the Social Affairs Commission, and will probably reach their conclusion.
“The idea is to win the vote in committee and then pronounce the inadmissibility just before -or just during- the public session on June 8,” slips an executive from Renacimiento, the ruling party.
The arts and trs of the Assembly in full swing. The Republican deputy Justine Gruet, who voted in favor of the motion of no confidence against the executive a few weeks ago, will be replaced by Veronique Louwagie, who supports the postponement of the age of majority. While Anne-Laure Blin will sit in place of her colleague Thibault Bazin.
In the hands of Braun-Pivet
Various sources also indicate that Yaël Braun-Pivet, the president of the Assembly and macronista, would then consider calling an exceptional office on Thursday, to rule on “the inadmissibility of the text.” And so Put an end to this regulatory confusion.
“Politically, if the text is rejected in committee, it would be much easier for her declare it inadmissible in session. It would only be the regulations that ply”, deciphers a heavyweight of the relative majority.
Another Renaissance deputy concluded, optimistically: “Only one thing is certain, and that is that in a few days, finally, the pension reform will be left behind. “Because after having delayed for a long time, hesitating between obstruction, rejection or laissez-faire, the macronia decided: here it is decided to tear down the text repeal led by Liot. Whatever is needed”.
On Tuesday, the Insumiso Eric Coquerel had delivered his verdict, several days after the project was stopped by the president of the social affairs commission, Fadila Khattabi (Renaissance), who summoned him to rule on the text.
Before the press, the president of the finance commission of France Insoumisa confirmed that this bill was, according to him, “admissible”, while he assured that it was “as factual” as possible, despite his belonging to a party of opposition.
The presidential troops, who cThey consider this initiative “unconstitutional” under “article 40” -which establishes that a law issued by parliamentarians cannot degrade public finances- they reacted immediately. The Renaissance group released a scathing statement, accusing Coquerel “of breaking free of respect for his office” and the Constitution.
In recent days, ministers and deputies from Macron’s camp have also media outings have multiplied to “raise the pressure”, according to one of them. Without managing to destabilize the Insumisos.
They haven’t reached the end yet
However, this departure of Eric Coquerel is far from ending the discussions. Minutes before the announcement of the LFI deputy, the Macronist president of the National Assembly, Yaël Braun-Pivet, announced that she “will assume responsibility” so that there is no “debate” about this “unconstitutional” proposal.
Implicit: he will not hesitate, when it seems necessary and opportune, to convene an exceptional office of the Assembly, a circle in which the Macronist camp is the majority, to rule again on the admissibility of this proposal. And therefore reject it.
The so opera continues. France waits. Summer has arrived and these are the last chances to “put to bed” and sleep the pension reform or revive it. It is in the hands of the National Assembly.